876 BEACHWEAR World Cup 2026 · Group Stage · Jun 13–27

THE KNOCKOUT SALE

"When dem drop out, di price drop too." 🏖️

We picked 8 footballing giants. The moment one crashes out of the World Cup, 20% OFF storewide goes live. This page is our prediction engine — no live scores, pure probability — forecasting exactly which days your heartbreak becomes your discount.

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Chance a giant falls before June 28

Probability that at least one of our watched eight fails to reach the Round of 32. Translation: the odds we're slashing prices early.

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Doomsday — the most dangerous date

Calculating…

"Somewhere, a squad worth a billion dollars is about to cry on live television. Our prices will cry with them."

— 876 Beachwear, emotionally invested in failure

DAYS OF RECKONING

A giant's group-stage funeral can only be confirmed on their final match day. Third-place finishers sweat until every group closes on June 27 — the single most chaotic day on the calendar.

"We don't do sympathy. We do swimwear."

— management, allegedly

THE HIT LIST

Eight giants. One question: who books the early flight home? Exit probability from 20,000 simulations per group.

"Tears dry faster on the beach."

— scientific fact, probably

SCHEDULED HEARTBREAK

Every fixture ranked by danger — the matches most likely to send a giant packing (and send you shopping).

THEY LOSE. YOU WIN. 20% OFF.

Shop 1, Mall 33, Clock Tower Plaza — bring your grief, leave with swimwear.

How this works (the boring-but-honest part): Each group's six matches are simulated 20,000 times using Elo-style strength ratings and a Poisson goal model. A team is "out" if it finishes 4th, or finishes 3rd and misses the best-thirds cut (8 of 12 third-place teams advance). The 2026 format is forgiving — giants rarely die in the group stage — which is why these numbers look low. That's the whole point: chaos is rare. When it hits, it's seismic. And it's 20% off. Ratings are pre-tournament estimates, not bookmaker odds. This model does not update with live results.